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商品編號： 82511 出版日期： 1982/09/01 作者姓名： Ulvila, Jacob W.;Brown, Rex V. 商品類別： Negotiation 商品規格： 12p 再版日期： 地域： 產業： 個案年度： -
商品敘述：
Decision analysts' new technology combines statistical decision theory with insights from psychology, economics, and social science. Decision tree analysis by the AIL Division of Cutler-Hammer, Inc. shows how analysts specify the elements of the tree, assign each element a value, and calculate the results to determine whether to develop a patent. Probabilistic forecasting has the advantage of not limiting forecasting to extrapolation from the past. It combines assessments of judgment with data. Multiattribute utility analysis specifies all factors that affect a choice, allows trade-offs to be made among those factors, and indicates the alternative offering the best balance.
涵蓋領域：
Decision analysis;Decision trees;Forecasting;Probability
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